Thursday, April 17, 2008

XLF - Financial Sector & SMH - Semi Holders Update

Over the weekend I posted some thoughts on the indexes. The Financials & Semis have come the closest to breaking the levels I mentioned.

These levels are important because they signal that the recent trend of 'higher highs and higher lows' is broken. Now that doesn't mean the trend is bearish all of a sudden. When those levels are broken, there is definitely a much greater likely hood of the short to intermediate term being bearish.

Take the semis for example (see below), I'd say they are neutral at best and bearish at the worst.

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